Among them distributing with the traffic of average rate of increase law calculation flow of passengers capacity ; the flow of passengers is brought out in model law calculation with gravity ; constructing the rate sharing responsibility for building model calculation according to transportation resistance shifts the flow of passengers ; think over time value when the flow of passengers is brought out in the calculation 以胶济铁路提速改造为例,就构造的客运量预测模型作了应用研究。其中以平均增长率法计算客流量的交通分布;以重力模型法计算诱发客流;依据运输阻力构建的分担率模型计算转移客流;在计算诱发客流时考虑了时间价值。