| 1. | And that risk of false connection is why scientists like pascal ' s version of the world
正因为这种错误关联存在危险，所以科学家们关注贝伊斯认识世界的方式。 |
| 2. | Bayes was one of two main influences on the early development of probability theory and statistics
贝伊斯曾是对概率论与统计的早期发展有重大影响的两位人物之一。 |
| 3. | But when models are built , it is almost impossible to avoid including bayesian - style prior assumptions in them
但是当模型一旦建成，要避免其中含有贝伊斯式的预测几乎是不可能的。 |
| 4. | Psychologically , people tend to be bayesian ? to the extent of often making false connections
从心理学的角度来讲，人们倾向于贝伊斯的思维?从某种程度来讲，也就是做出一些错误的关联。 |
| 5. | But , whereas pascal ' s ideas are simple and widely understood , bayes ' s have always been harder to grasp
但是，帕斯卡的思想通俗易懂且广被人们所理解，而贝伊斯的思想总是很难去捉摸。 |
| 6. | In one sense it is obvious that assumptions will affect outcomes ? another reason bayes is not properly acknowledged
从某种意义上讲，猜测很明显会影响到结果?这是贝伊斯的思想没有被认清的另一个原因。 |
| 7. | Pascal ' s way of looking at the world was that of the gambler : each throw of the dice is independent of the previous one
贝伊斯认识世界的方式是站在豪赌者的角度上的，也就是说，每次骰子的掷出都是与前一次掷骰毫无关系的。 |
| 8. | But because of their philosophical training in the rigours of pascal ' s method , the bayesian bolt - on does not come easily to scientists
但是，由于贝伊斯式的保守派接受的是帕斯卡严格的哲学方式，因此他们想成为科学家并非易事。 |
| 9. | Bayes ' s allows for the accumulation of experience , and its incorporation into a statistical model in the form of prior assumptions that can vary with circumstances
贝伊斯提倡经验积累，以及通过预先猜测（能与环境相区别的）来将这些经验合为一个统计模型。 |
| 10. | The particular range of values chosen for a parameter is an example of a bayesian prior assumption , since it is derived from actual experience of how the climate behaves ? and may thus be modified in the light of experience
所选取的参数值的特殊范围是贝伊斯预测的一个例证，因为这些参数值是直接来自于对气候变化的实际经验中?并且可能这样通过经验来进行修正。 |
