灾变预测 meaning in English

catastrophic prediction

This paper presents the following innovation : 1 . this paper proposes the gray - index moving combined forecast model , which combines the single - index moving method with gray disaster prediction theory . the joint model solves the problem of deviation and lag in single - index moving forecasting method in some degree , and prediction accuracy and reliability is improved
将灰色灾变预测与一次指数平滑法相互结合、相互补充,在一定程度上控制了一次指数平滑法预测时的误差积累,从而修正了用一次指数平滑法预测所带来的偏差和滞后,提高了预测结果的可靠性和精度。